Was opened the door for Arab Spring in Jordan ?

The  Jordan has been utterly quiet from the  waves of political uprising which was occurred recently  in Middle East and North Africa, that will be changed ?, Jordan’s King Abdullah is facing overwhelming discontent and repression of his people   and  his traditional supporters also have involved  in recent political uprising in Jordan

That one of the most overt challenges yet to the authority of Jordan’s king took the form of a song-and-dance routine speaks to the restraint with which the Arab Spring has unfolded here over the past 16 months. . . .

The men who were singing were native Jordanians, “East Bankers” who belong to the tribes from which most members of the army and security forces are drawn, and whose loyalty to the monarchy has never been in question—until now. . . .

But the civility masks deep and growing tensions that call into question the stability of this strategically significant kingdom of 6 million people, a bedrock of U.S. influence in the region and Israel’s last reliable Arab ally since the fall of Egypt’s Hosni Mubarak.

Jordan has long been an oddity  in the Middle East. Since being established  by the British in 1922, its Hashemite rulers have somehow survived myriad challenges, including major Arab-Israeli wars, Palestinian refugees, assassinations and uprisings.  Amid all these past challenges, Jordan’s monarchy has depended on its relationship with the West and support from its base of “east bankers.”  But that base is increasingly upset about the lack of political and economic reforms over the past two decades. Yet Jordan is more stable than it sometimes looks. the unprecedented resignation of Jordanian prime minister Awan Khaswanah, it  hints the lack of political renaissance and reform in this country, soon  the demonstrations and political protests have burst out, the abundant corruption of this country and the unrestricted ecnommical crisis also triggered to the rage of citizen,  Jordan has looked fragile for a long time, yet the ruling family and its allies have kept power even as stronger and more powerful looking regimes around them fell.  Compared to the Assads, Saddams and Qaddafis, the Hashemites have been moderate and humane and King Abdullah continues to follow in the family tradition.But in this new era in the Middle East, the public wants more power and less supervision than in the past. The monarchy in Jordan probably still has a real political role to play as a ‘moderating power’ ensuring that each of Jordan’s many groups and interests are represented in the state without dominating it. But playing that role successfully in the future will probably require a lighter touch than in the past  even as the instability and violence in neighboring countries threatens Jordan’s security and cohesion. King Abdullah has his work cut out for him; Via Meadia wishes him every success as a stable, progressive Jordan under an evolving constitutional monarchy would be a blessing to its own people and to the region as a whole.That current  frustration has been exacerbated by grinding economic problems, which have largely wiped out the middle class and badly hurt the poor. Cuts to government spending or the state bureaucracy, meanwhile, tend to disproportionately hurt the East Bankers who have generally been favored by the state for political reasons. The ostentatious new wealth on display in parts of Amman only fueled the simmering resentment.Some Expectation  had been placed in the appointment of the respected liberal jurist Khaswaneh as Prime Minister. With his departure, that hope too has been futile . The long history of the regime’s surviving such frustrated hopes and failed reforms would suggest that this too shall pass. But Jordan’s Palace should not be so confident. The spread of protest into new constituencies, the rising grievances of the south, the intensifying identity politics, the struggling economy, and the pervasive fury at perceived official corruption create a potent brew. The violent dispersal of an attempted Amman sit-in last March shocked activists and broke their momentum, but the protest movement has proven resilient and creative. I would rank Jordan today only below Bahrain as at risk of a sudden escalation of political crisis  at which point the impossible would in retrospect look inevitable indeed.Image


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